Where is Risk Heading from Here?
By David Leal, Market Analyst | Tuesday, April 20th, 2010 01:35 UTC
The market is not looking promising for risk appetite this week. Equities broke down below 1200 on Friday, and they remained under that mark in todays trading. The talk is that the SEC’s investigation into Goldman Sachs is what is causing this risk aversion, that may be the case but this type of news rarely has a lasting impact in the market, I believe that there is still hope for risk appetite this week.
Despite the poor showing in the equities market, AUDUSD made back half of its losses that it incurred since last Thursday. The pair still has a bit of strength left in it and looks to have set a course for 0.9285. EURUSD has followed the same general movement as AUDUSD but a bit more subdued, although any short term gains in EURUSD would have a hard time breaking above 1.3515.
The one pair that remained intertwined in the equity price action was USDCAD. The pair has held on to its gains from last week. Partially to blame is its proximity to parity, which always seem to make USDCAD act outside of the normal correlations. The other, perhaps more important, reason for the relative strength of USD against CAD is the movement in oil which has fallen to just above 80 dollar a barrel in the last few trading days.
The long term trend is still in favor of risk appetite however, it looks like the most likely scenario is for the market to take a breather in the short run. This is only natural when you look at the price action since February.
Analysis , AUD , Equities , EUR , Forex , Strategy , USD 
April 20th, 2010
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